Long Term Update: nothing new to report

XBTUSD Monthly Chart since 2013

After several months since the last update there are no particular news, at the time I wrote that “…..My opinion is that the bitcoin will continue to remain for most of the year within the levels calculated with the KAMA (yellow) and therefore remains a good opportunity to buy the price area from 4000 to 5500 dollars…..” and my opinion has not changed since then.

I have read everywhere that the descending triangle pattern will soon tell where bitcoin will go, whether to break upwards or downwards. I can’t say which way the price will take but usually when too many investors/traders expect one thing the market has the habit of doing the exact opposite.

The bitcoin usd cross might test the 4k level for a short period of time followed by a strong upmove; a last shakeout move tends to shake out the weak hands before the next big move, many investors will be very scared in seeing the bitcoin go down to 4k usd, I do not and possibly I could decide to buy again in that price range (4000$-5200$).

To conclude it’s very important to see if the level of 5200$ will be tested and broken before year’s end, if so an interesting buying opportunity might arise. If not, then another buying opportunity might be to enter the market if bitcoin moves above the Kama monthly average now at 8650$.