This is the main template I use with the tradingview platform, it is a weekly XBTUSD chart with the Kaufmann moving average I modified by adding the deviation lines.
These deviation lines have been appropriately calibrated according to the volatility of the underlying asset.
As you can clearly see, the market has never tested the second negative deviation line and has always reacted from the first line.
So it was also yesterday after a minimum at 9200$ where a strong reaction took place up to 11600$.
I think that this market is headed well above 20000$ in the upcoming weeks/months, for completeness a possible bearish scenario would imply first a drop down to 7500$, a subsequent reaction to 9500$-10000$ before resuming the fall to new lows. This possible bearish scenario would convince me to liquidate all the bitcoins i bought in 2014-2015 at an average price of 550$. As long XBTUSD stays above 9500$ i’m not worried for my long term position.